Forecasting Assumptions

The forecasts for the domestic economy depend on forecasts of economic growth and inflation in Australia's MTP and assumptions for oil prices and the exchange rate, all of which are set out in Panel A of Table 1. In line with usual practice, it is assumed that the exchange rate will remain broadly unchanged from the average level reached in recent months. The farm sector forecasts are prepared on the assumption that average seasonal conditions will prevail in 1997-98.