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Intergenerational
Report
Spending on
Health, Aged Care
and Age Pensions
In the future, three key social
areas of government spending are most likely to have escalating
growth. These are health, aged care and age pensions.
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Spending on health, aged care and age pensions
is likely to grow because the population is ageing and
older people are the biggest users of the health system.
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spending on health, aged care
and age pensions to grow
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In addition, around three-quarters of the
projected growth in health spending over the next four
decades reflects the expected use of newer, high cost
technologies.
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technological advances, not
population ageing, are the main reason for more health
spending
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Lower birth rates are likely to result
in a reduced rate of growth in government spending on
education and payments to families. This is because the
number of people aged under 18 is expected to fall slightly
over the next 40 years.
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population ageing will not
increase spending in all areas
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Spending in other areas such as the environment
and defence is less sensitive to population change. This
spending is assumed to remain constant as a proportion
of GDP.
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Commonwealth Spending
on Health and Aged Care
Could Double from 2002 to 2042

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