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Table 1 compares revenue estimates for 1998-99 with estimates for 1999-2000.[1]
Table 1: Revenue Estimates
| 1998-99 | 1999-00 | Change on 1998-99 | ||
| Estimate $m |
Estimate $m |
$m |
% |
|
| Tax Revenue | ||||
| Income Tax | ||||
| Individuals - | ||||
| Gross PAYE | 68270 | 72970 | 4700 | 6.9 |
| Gross Other Individuals(a) | 12090 | 12400 | 310 | 2.6 |
| Gross PPS(b) | 2650 | 2710 | 60 | 2.3 |
| Medicare Levy | 4160 | 4330 | 170 | 4.1 |
| Refunds | 9880 | 11330 | 1450 | 14.7 |
| Total Individuals | 77290 | 81080 | 3790 | 4.9 |
| Companies(a) | 21270 | 22940 | 1670 | 7.9 |
| Superannuation Funds(a)(c) | 3870 | 3900 | 30 | 0.8 |
| Withholding Tax | 1210 | 1310 | 100 | 8.3 |
| Petroleum Resource Rent Tax | 420 | 720 | 300 | 71.4 |
| Total Income Tax | 104060 | 109950 | 5890 | 5.7 |
| Indirect Tax | ||||
| Wholesale Sales Tax(d) | 15083 | 15659 | 576 | 3.8 |
| Excise Duty - | ||||
| Petroleum Products and Crude Oil(d)(e) | 9544 | 9745 | 202 | 2.1 |
| Other(d) | 2633 | 2931 | 298 | 11.3 |
| Customs Duty(d)(f) | 3643 | 3644 | 2 | .. |
| Total Indirect Tax | 30902 | 31979 | 1077 | 3.5 |
| Other Taxes, Fees and Fines(g) | 5885 | 5849 | -36 | -0.6 |
| TOTAL TAX REVENUE(g) | 140847 | 147779 | 6932 | 4.9 |
| Non-Tax Revenue | 12502 | 15050 | 2548 | 20.4 |
| TOTAL REVENUE(g) | 153349 | 162828 | 9479 | 6.2 |
In 1999-2000, taxation revenue is expected to grow by 4.9 per cent over
estimated revenue in 1998-99. As a share of GDP, tax revenue is expected to remain
unchanged at 23.8 per cent in 1999-2000. Total revenue is expected to increase
by 6.2 per cent, with the ratio of revenue to GDP increasing slightly to
26.3 per cent from 25.9 per cent in 1998-99.
The growth in taxation revenue in 1999-2000 reflects ongoing expansion of economic
activity, with growth expected in all revenue heads except for other taxes, fees and
fines. Particularly strong growth is expected in: company tax, reflecting income growth
through 1998-99; petroleum resource rent tax, as a result of the resumption of production
in Victoria; and other excise, due to reform of tobacco taxation announced in A New Tax
System (see Part I of Budget Paper No. 2).
Non-taxation revenue is expected to grow by 20.4 per cent in 1999-2000. This
largely reflects expectations of higher dividend payments from Government Business
Enterprises and the Reserve Bank of Australia.
Revenue measures contained in this Budget add $27.7 million to revenue in 1999-2000,
$21.9 million in 2000-01, $16.6 million in 2001-02 and $25.9 million in
2002-03. Further details of revenue measures introduced since the 1998-99 Budget are
included in Appendix A, and all measures introduced in the 1999-2000 Budget are
described in full in Budget Paper No. 2.
The revenue estimates are influenced by the forecast pace and composition of economic
activity. The 1999-2000 revenue estimates are based on the following major economic
parameter forecasts:
Estimates for 1998-99 and 1999-2000 for the major categories of individuals income tax are shown in Table 1.
Wage and salary earners pay income tax on a PAYE basis through tax instalment
deductions made by their employers.
Gross PAYE collections are expected to rise by 6.9 per cent in 1999-2000 in
response to forecast growth in average earnings and growth in wage and salary employment.
The Gross Other Individuals category includes all income tax paid by individuals, other
than those made through the PAYE and Prescribed Payments System (PPS) categories. Tax
revenue comprises provisional tax payments and debit assessments on income tax returns (ie
where PAYE, PPS or provisional tax credits are insufficient to meet the tax assessed on
income). Taxpayers in this category derive their income from salaries and wages, business,
primary production, property and capital gains.
A taxpayer's provisional tax liability in a given year is generally determined by
increasing the previous year's assessed income by a provisional tax uplift factor
(referenced to the year-average growth rate of nominal GDP for the preceding calendar
year). Taxpayers who expect their income to grow by less than the uplift factor may elect
to lodge a provisional tax variation to reduce provisional tax instalments. Current year
tax revenue for other individuals is made up of provisional tax instalments, where
necessary, together with any balance on assessment.
Gross revenue from this item is expected to rise by 2.6 per cent in 1999-2000.
The relatively slow growth in forecast revenue in 1999-2000 is largely due to expected
slow growth in 1998-99 incomes. However, strong debit assessments in 1998-99 are expected
to contribute positively to revenue in 1999-2000 via higher provisional tax (arising from
both a higher tax base and the uplift factor).
The PPS is a withholding system for income tax collection, which applies to certain
payments made under contracts for the performance of work. The PPS operates in certain
industries (eg building and construction). A payer who makes a prescribed payment is
required to make tax instalment deductions from the payment and remit the amount deducted
to the Australian Taxation Office. The payee claims a credit for the amount deducted in
his or her tax return. For the PPS to apply, the relationship between the payer and the
payee must not be one of common law employment, in which case the PAYE system will
operate.
Revenue from this item in 1999-2000 is expected to increase by 2.3 per cent,
reflecting ongoing growth in residential construction activity, partly offset by weaker
non-residential construction.
Revenue from the Medicare levy in 1999-2000 is expected to rise by 4.1 per cent, mainly reflecting growth in the taxable income of individuals.
A final assessment of tax liability for individual taxpayers is made on the basis of
returns lodged after the end of a financial year. Refunds are made where tax credits
exceed the final assessment. Where tax credits are insufficient to meet the final tax
liability, taxpayers make an additional payment, which is collected under the Other
Individuals income tax category.
Refunds in 1999-2000 are estimated to grow by 14.7 per cent, largely due to
ongoing growth in income tax collected from individuals during 1998-99, and a number of
measures. These include the savings rebate announced in the 1997-98 Budget and the
30 per cent private health insurance rebate announced in A New Tax System.
Table 2 contains estimates for 1998-99 and 1999-2000 for company and other income
tax items.
Table 2: Company and Other Income Tax
| 1998-99 Estimate $m |
1999-00 Estimate $m |
Change on 1998-99 % |
|
| Companies(a) | 21270 | 22940 | 7.9 |
| Superannuation Funds(a)(b) | 3870 | 3900 | 0.8 |
| Withholding Tax | |||
| Resident | 130 | 130 | - |
| Non-resident | |||
| Interest | 540 | 570 | 5.6 |
| Dividend | 179 | 239 | 33.5 |
| Royalty | 360 | 370 | 2.8 |
| Mining | 1 | 1 | - |
| Total Withholding Tax | 1210 | 1310 | 8.3 |
| Petroleum Resource Rent Tax | 420 | 720 | 71.4 |
| TOTAL | 26770 | 28870 | 7.8 |
The general tax rate for companies is 36 per cent, with concessional rates
applying to certain income of life assurance companies, registered organisations, pooled
development funds, small credit unions and offshore banking units.
Company tax revenue is recognised as accruing to the Commonwealth when a liability for a
taxation instalment arises, either through assessment by the Australian Taxation Office or
through self-assessment by the taxpayer. Companies, other than small companies, are
required to make one or two quarterly instalment payments (depending on the size of the
company's estimated tax liability) in the year income is earned, with the remainder paid
in the following year (or substituted accounting period). Small companies are required to
make a single instalment payment in the financial year (or substituted accounting period)
following the year income is earned. From the 2000-01 income year, the new company tax
payment arrangements announced in A New Tax System will bring payments of company
tax forward.
Company income tax is forecast to grow by 7.9 per cent in 1999-2000, largely
reflecting the estimated growth in company taxable income in 1998-99. The new company tax
payment arrangements will also begin to take effect for companies with
early balancing dates, resulting in higher revenue in 1999-2000.
Superannuation funds are generally taxed at the concessional rate of
15 per cent in relation to investment income and certain contributions received.
Superannuation funds tax is recognised as accruing to the Commonwealth on a similar basis
to companies. Payments are made according to the same schedule as applies to company
income tax.
Superannuation funds tax is expected to rise only slightly in 1999-2000. While
contributions to superannuation funds in 1998-99 are expected to continue to rise, taxable
earnings are expected to slow following strong growth in the previous income year.
Withholding tax is levied on:
The estimated increase in withholding tax in 1999-2000 of 8.3 per cent is largely due to the introduction of deferred company tax (announced in A New Tax System) on dividends paid to non-residents.
Under the Commonwealth's Petroleum (Submerged Lands) Act 1967, PRRT
applies to offshore areas other than the North West Shelf production license areas and
associated exploration permit areas, which are subject to excise and royalty arrangements.
PRRT is levied at the rate of 40 per cent of taxable profit from a petroleum
project.
PRRT is expected to increase by 71.4 per cent in 1999-2000 mainly due to a
recovery in Bass Strait oil production following the disruption to Victorian gas supplies
in late 1998.
Table 3 shows estimates for 1998-99 and 1999-2000 of various indirect taxes.
Table 3: Indirect Tax
| 1998-99 Estimate $m |
1999-00 Estimate $m |
Change on 1998-99 % |
|
| Wholesale Sales Tax | 15083 | 15659 | 3.8 |
| Excise Duty | |||
| Petroleum Products - | |||
| Leaded Petrol | 1783 | 1491 | -16.4 |
| Unleaded Petrol | 4702 | 5092 | 8.3 |
| Diesel | 2908 | 2912 | 0.1 |
| Other(a) | 121 | 135 | 11.7 |
| Total Petroleum Products | 9515 | 9631 | 1.2 |
| Crude Oil | 29 | 115 | 293.5 |
| Other Excise - | |||
| Beer | 840 | 857 | 2.0 |
| Potable Spirits | 265 | 271 | 2.0 |
| Tobacco Products | 1528 | 1804 | 18.1 |
| Total Other Excise | 2633 | 2931 | 11.3 |
| Total Excise | 12177 | 12677 | 4.1 |
| Customs Duty(b) | 3643 | 3644 | .. |
| TOTAL | 30902 | 31979 | 3.5 |
WST is imposed on a range of goods destined for consumption in Australia and is levied
at the last wholesale or import point on the wholesale sales value of taxable goods. In
1999-2000, taxable goods will continue to be variously subject to tax rates of 12, 22, 26,
32 and 45 per cent, depending on the classification of the goods involved. These
rates do not include the surcharge rates on alcohol arising from the safety net
arrangements implemented following the High Court decision invalidating State and
Territory business franchise fees (which are collected by the Commonwealth on an agency
basis for the States and Territories). The 32 per cent WST rate (other than
that applying to furs and jewellery) will be reduced to 22 per cent 21 days
after Royal Assent is given to the Goods and Services Tax (GST) legislation. This seeks to
remove the incentive for consumers to delay purchases of items which they expect will fall
in price under the GST.
The estimated increase in WST revenue of 3.8 per cent in 1999-2000 mainly
reflects forecast growth in the nominal value of taxable goods, partly offset by changes
in consumption patterns prior to the introduction of the GST. Due to the difficulty in
predicting the likely behavioural responses of consumers to the expected relative price
changes, there is greater than usual uncertainty associated with the
1999-2000 WST estimate.
Petroleum products excise includes excise on motor spirit (petrol), diesel fuel,
aviation gasoline, aviation turbine fuel, fuel oil, heating oil and kerosene. It is
imposed at specific rates per litre of product. Crude oil excise includes
excise collected from offshore fields in the North West Shelf production license areas
which are not subject to PRRT, and onshore fields and coastal waters.
Excise revenue from other petroleum products, which include aviation gasoline, aviation
turbine fuel, fuel oil, heating oil and kerosene, is expected to grow by
11.7 per cent, primarily reflecting the introduction of new excise rates for
aviation gasoline and aviation turbine fuel. The introduction of these new excise rates
will partly fund the implementation of air safety programmes and help maintain air
navigation services at regional and general aviation airports (see Part I of Budget Paper No. 2).
Excise revenue from total petroleum products is expected to increase by
1.2 per cent in 1999-2000 mainly reflecting an expected increase in consumption
of unleaded petrol and the indexation of excise rates. The fall in excise collections from
leaded petrol reflects a continuing decline in the number of vehicles that exclusively use
leaded petrol.
Other excise is derived from beer, potable spirits and tobacco products. It is
imposed at a specific rate per kilogram on tobacco products, on the alcoholic content of
beer in excess of 1.15 per cent by volume and on the distilled alcohol in other
products such as spirits and mixed drinks. Wine, wine products and other fermented alcohol
are exempt from excise.
Excise revenue from these products is expected to increase by 11.3 per cent in
1999-2000, largely reflecting moderate growth in alcohol consumption and a rise in the
value of tobacco excise resulting from the reform to tobacco taxation announced in A New Tax System
(also see Part I of Budget Paper No. 2).
The rates of duty for excisable commodities (with the exception of crude oil) are
adjusted each August and February in line with half-yearly Consumer Price Index (CPI)
movements. If the change in the CPI is negative, the excise rate is not reduced but
instead the decline is carried forward to be offset against the next positive CPI
movement.
All revenue from the excise duty on aviation gasoline and aviation turbine fuel
contributes to the funding of aviation programmes. In addition to the impact of indexation
described above, the rates of excise and customs duty applying to aviation fuels are
adjusted, as necessary, depending on the funding requirements of those programmes (see
Part I of Budget Paper No. 2).
Existing excise rates are shown in Table 4.
Table 4: Excise Rates(a)
| Commodity | Rates applying from 1 August 1998 $ |
Rates applying from 1 February 1999 $ |
| Petroleum (per litre) | ||
| Leaded Petrol | 0.37093 | 0.37353 |
| Unleaded Petrol | 0.34905 | 0.35149 |
| Diesel (gross) | 0.34905 | 0.35149 |
| Aviation Gasoline | 0.01721 | 0.01733 |
| Aviation Turbine Fuel | 0.01796 | 0.01809 |
| Fuel Oil | 0.07243 | 0.07294 |
| Heating Oil | 0.07243 | 0.07294 |
| Kerosene | 0.07243 | 0.07294 |
| Beer (per litre of alcohol over 1.15 per cent) | 15.99 | 16.10 |
| Potable Spirits (per litre of alcohol) | ||
| Brandy | 31.78 | 32.00 |
| General rate for Other Spirits | 37.21 | 37.47 |
| Tobacco Products (per kg) | 84.78 | 85.37 |
Ad valorem tariffs are applied to many categories of imports. Customs duty
revenue is affected by the Australian dollar value of imports, the level of the statutory
tariff rates applied to imports and the composition of imports between high and low tariff
rates. Around 60 per cent of total imports by value enter duty free.
Customs duty revenue is expected to remain almost unchanged in 1999-2000, with moderate
growth in the value of imports being offset by continuing tariff rate reductions.
Table 5 shows estimates for 1998-99 and 1999-2000 of the various categories of
other taxes, fees and fines.
Table 5: Other Taxes, Fees and Fines
| 1998-99 Estimate $m |
1999-00 Estimate $m |
Change on 1998-99 % |
|
| Fringe benefits tax - external entities | 3235 | 3286 | 1.6 |
| Primary industry charges and levies - domestic | 705 | 542 | -23.1 |
| Primary industry charges and levies - export | 4 | 3 | -16.4 |
| License fees | 109 | 110 | 0.7 |
| Corporation law fees | 349 | 353 | 1.1 |
| Immigration fines | 8 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Immigration fees | 190 | 183 | -3.9 |
| Wool tax | 87 | 74 | -14.2 |
| Departure Tax | 217 | 247 | 13.7 |
| Other(a) | 981 | 1044 | 6.4 |
| TOTAL | 5885 | 5849 | -0.6 |
FBT applies to a range of benefits provided by employers to their employees or associates of their employees. FBT is expected to rise by 1.6 per cent in 1999-2000, with the effect of general remuneration growth being partly offset by the effects of fringe benefits being included on employee group certificates, as announced in A New Tax System. This change is expected to result in some conversion of fringe benefits into ordinary income, resulting in lower FBT and higher individuals income tax.
Domestic primary industry charges and levies are expected to fall by 23.1 per cent in 1999-2000, mainly due to the privatisation of the Wool and Wheat Boards, and restructuring of the red meat industry. Primary industry charges and levies are used to fund various boards and bodies that operate in the primary industry sector.
Table 6 shows estimates for 1998-99 and 1999-2000 of the various categories of
non-taxation revenue.
Table 6: Non-Taxation Revenue
| 1998-99 Estimate $m |
1999-00 Estimate $m |
Change on 1998-99 % |
|
| Sales of goods and services | 2505 | 2496 | -0.4 |
| Interest | |||
| Interest from Other Governments | 449 | 369 | -17.9 |
| Interest from Other Sources(a) | 1852 | 2461 | 32.9 |
| Total Interest | 2301 | 2830 | 23.0 |
| Dividends | |||
| Dividends from Associated Entities | 4126 | 5958 | 44.4 |
| Dividends from Other Sources | 75 | 57 | -24.1 |
| Total Dividends | 4201 | 6014 | 43.2 |
| Net foreign exchange gains | 360 | - | na |
| Net gains from sale of assets | 27 | 9 | -66.6 |
| Other sources of non-tax revenue(b) | 3107 | 3700 | 19.1 |
| TOTAL | 12502 | 15050 | 20.4 |
This item mainly comprises revenue from the States and Territories on General Purpose
and Specific Purpose Borrowings.
The Commonwealth receives interest payments from the States in respect of borrowings made
on behalf of the States under the State Governments' Loan Council Programme and from the
Northern Territory in respect of advances made under similar general purpose capital
assistance arrangements. Payments relating to these advances are made in turn by the
Commonwealth to bond-holders.
Interest from the States on General Purpose Borrowings is declining as a result of the
June 1990 Loan Council decision that the States make additional payments to the Debt
Retirement Reserve Trust Account (with analogous payments from the Territories) each year,
to facilitate the redemption of all maturing Commonwealth securities issued on their
behalf. The reduction in interest revenue from the States and Territories is matched by a
reduction in public debt interest expense. Interest will be lower in 1999-2000 compared
to 1998-99, reflecting repayments of outstanding debt to the Commonwealth in 1998-99.
The Commonwealth also receives interest on advances made under Commonwealth-State Housing
Agreements, States (Works and Housing) Assistance Acts, Northern Territory Housing
Advances and from the Australian Capital Territory on debts assumed upon self-government.
Interest from the States on Specific Purpose Borrowings will be lower in 1999-2000
compared to 1998-99, reflecting repayments of advances to the Commonwealth in 1998-99.
This item includes interest income on Commonwealth cash balances and on other financial assets, including swap transactions entered into as a component of debt management operations. Interest revenue from swaps is included on a gross basis for the first time. Previously interest revenue from swaps was netted off from swap interest payments.
The main providers of dividends to the Commonwealth are its Government Business
Enterprises (GBEs) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
Dividends are expected to rise by 43.2 per cent in 1999-2000, mainly due to
higher dividend payments from some GBEs and an above average dividend payment from the
RBA. Dividend payments received from the RBA are affected by movements in interest rates
and the exchange rate over the course of the financial year and hence can be quite
volatile.
The Royal Australian Mint also provides dividend revenue to the Commonwealth. This
includes seigniorage from circulating coin production, royalties from numismatic coin
sales and annual dividends from the profits the Mint makes as the manufacturer of these
products. An increase in revenue mainly reflects anticipated increases in circulating coin
sales and higher numismatic royalties and profits associated with growth in the
Sydney 2000 Olympic Coin Programme.
This item is expected to increase by 19.1 per cent in 1999-2000, in part due
to slippages in the expected timing of the sale of Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), from an
International Monetary Fund SDR allocation, to the RBA. Approximately $470 million of
revenue that was originally expected to accrue in 1998-99 is now expected to accrue in
1999-2000. There is an offsetting movement on the expenses side.
In addition, the Australian Taxation Office will accrue $350 million in revenue from the
States in the form of GST administration costs in 1999-2000. However, the cash
payment will not be received until 2000-01.